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Robert MacNeil Christie, Author

Viewing The Future As If Facts Matter

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Tag: probability and choice

Denial Does Not Dodge Delta Danger

August 3, 2021

As new cases have surged over the past few weeks, some hospitals are already overrun with unvaccinated victims of the Delta variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus that caused the COVID-19 pandemic. Many find it hard to believe, since we thought we were so close to putting it all behind us. But this extremely transmissible and … More Denial Does Not Dodge Delta Danger

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The Delta Gamble: Misunderstanding Risk

July 7, 2021

I’ve never been much of a gambler. I don’t remember ever buying a lottery ticket; the odds just seemed so absurdly bad. From what I understand, it is almost impossible to win at roulette at any casino; it’s the odds again. Blackjack is another matter; with enough reserve cash, a lot of skill, and some … More The Delta Gamble: Misunderstanding Risk

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